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Skipper Pat Cummins has admitted that his participation in the first Ashes Test appears unlikely due to persistent fitness concerns.
Media speculation from Australia had suggested that Cummins might miss the whole series, though the pace bowler himself has now provided a more detailed update on his situation.
The 32-year-old has been struggling with a back stress injury that has prevented his participation since his last professional game in July.
While Cummins has restarted running exercises, he has yet to commence bowling as part of his rehabilitation program.
"It's difficult to assign a percentage on it, but I'd say probably less likely than likely," commented Cummins. "My bowling preparation begins next week, so probably a couple of weeks away from wearing the spikes and delivering on turf."
Team mentor Andrew McDonald had previously indicated that Cummins would need a bare minimum of four weeks of bowling preparation to have any opportunity of playing in the first Test, scheduled to begin on November 21.
Cummins supported this assessment, clarifying: "You'd want at least probably a month in the nets. If you participate in a Test match, you want to make certain you're able to bowl 20 overs in a day without concern."
Given the tight timeframe, there are also doubts about Cummins' availability for the second Test in Brisbane on December 4.
Should Cummins be unavailable, former captain Steve Smith is expected to lead the side, with Scott Boland possibly stepping in in the pace department.
Australia have held the Ashes urn since 2018, while The visitors are without a Test win in Australia since 2011.
Cummins' current injury concerns echo challenges from earlier in his successful career. He made his Test first appearance as an 18-year-old in 2011 against South Africa, becoming the youngest-ever player to take a five-wicket haul in an innings at that time.
However, his impressive debut proved to be a misleading start, as Cummins experienced six years before his next match due to repeated stress fractures in his spine.
When healthy, Cummins has established himself as one of cricket's premier fast bowlers. The experienced campaigner has taken 309 Test dismissals at an impressive average of 22.10.
His record in Australia is even more impressive, with 177 wickets at 19.92, while he has taken 91 wickets against England in just 19 matches.
In the latest Ashes series in 2023, Cummins played in all five Tests, taking 18 wickets and confirming his value to the Australian side.
As captain, Cummins enjoyed a glorious 2023, taking six wickets in Australia's victorious World Test Championship final and excelling in their 50-over World Cup final win against India.
He remains the only leader in Test history to win the World Test Championship, World Cup, and an Ashes series.
England also face their own fitness concerns with captain Ben Stokes, who has been affected by a shoulder injury since the Test series against India.
Both teams will be assessing their key players closely as the highly anticipated Ashes series approaches.
A passionate life coach and writer dedicated to helping others achieve their dreams through actionable advice and motivational content.
Kelly Doyle
| 15 Aug 2026